Source registry

Inspect every series the desk holds: its provenance, admissibility, cadence, lag, and stated limit. Open a row for the complete method record.

Registry-to-reporting path

What decision-relevant condition can shipping evidence establish before a published report catches up?

Observe
Chokepoint transit count: Transits allowed and declared draft at a named chokepoint.
Boundary
cargo value, ownership, destination intent
Breaks the read
A source receipt that cannot reproduce the observation, or a result that conflicts with this family’s stated boundary, is held rather than promoted into a desk conclusion.
Open this brief in Alpha →
Published investigation

No matching illustrated investigation is currently packaged for this record. The method remains open; a reporting card appears only when a durable article exists.

19 of 19 series
Series · provenanceClassCadence · lagSupports · does not support
Bill of lading manifest
Customs-filed manifests, consignee and commodity fields
A
Weekly · 7–30 d
Counterparty pairs and commodity mix, as declared.
Contract award register
National and municipal award notices, deduplicated by lot
A
Daily · 1–14 d
Committed demand, named buyer and supplier.
Not delivery — awards are cancelled and rescoped.
Facility permit filings
Construction, emissions and process permits at local authorities
A
Irregular · 14–90 d
Capability at a site, and which processes are licensed there.
Not utilisation. A permit is permission, not activity.
Patent and licence cadence
Grant and application flow by classification and assignee
A
Weekly · 6–18 mo
Direction of research effort, as filed.
Nothing timely. Publication lag exceeds most theses.
Regulatory docket traffic
Filings, comments and interventions on named proceedings
A
Daily · 0–3 d
Which parties are contesting what, and when they engaged.
Not outcome, and not the position behind the filing.
Chokepoint transit count
Position broadcasts crossing gate lines drawn across each waterway
B
Daily · 0–4 h
Transits allowed and declared draft at a named chokepoint.
Not cargo value, ownership or destination intent.
Industrial grid load
Published system operator draw by zone and feeder class
B
5 min · 0–1 h
Aggregate industrial activity inside a zone.
Not attributable to one operator or facility.
Port call turnaround
Arrival and departure pairs, matched by vessel identity
B
Per call · 0–1 d
Handling efficiency and quay productivity trend.
Not volume — a fast call can be a light one.
Thermal anomaly
Infrared bands, flare and furnace detection at industrial sites
B
Daily · 3–12 h
Whether high-temperature process equipment is running.
Not throughput, and not which line is running.
Waterway and drought level
Gauge readings on freight-carrying rivers and canal systems
B
Hourly · 0–2 h
A physical constraint on barge draft and transit capacity.
Well understood and seasonal. Rarely a surprise.
Certificate and DNS record change
Public transparency logs and zone changes on corporate estates
C
Continuous · 0–6 h
That infrastructure is being stood up or retired.
Not what it is for. Naming is not disclosure.
Checkout availability sweep
Published stock and lead-time states across public storefronts
C
6 h · 0
Whether a product can be bought, where.
Not revenue. Availability is not conversion.
Event market implied probability
Mid prices on resolvable contracts, with book depth recorded
C
Continuous · 0
What a priced market expects of a discrete event.
Not a forecast. Thin books price attention.
Official statement language
Diffs across successive releases from the same issuer
C
Per release · 0–1 h
That wording changed, and in which direction.
Not why. Drafting changes for many reasons.
Posting composition
Role, seniority and site fields on employer-published listings
C
Daily · 1–2 d
Where an organisation is choosing to add capability.
Not headcount. Postings expire, duplicate and get reposted.
Site activity index
Optical passes, vehicle and stock-pile counts on a fixed footprint
C
2–5 / wk · 4–36 h
Whether a site is being worked, at coarse resolution.
Not output. Cloud cover creates gaps, not zeros.
Geolocated imagery claims
Posted photo and video, located by landmark and shadow, not caption
D
Continuous · 0–6 h
That something was visible at a place and time.
Never load-bearing alone. Two independent corroborations required.
Operator and trade forum chatter
Industry forums, employee posts, regional trade press
D
Continuous · 0–2 d
A lead worth checking, and the language practitioners use.
Never a finding. Volume is not corroboration.
Wire cadence and revision
Story counts, update frequency and correction notices by outlet
D
Continuous · 0–1 h
How a story is being told, and how fast that is changing.
Not the underlying fact. Coverage tracks attention.
Source registry · Alt Data · ARCANE